GC (Gold Futures) Std Dev: which timeframe is most reliable?
Gold — Std Dev prediction accuracy on each timeframe, measured.
| Timeframe | Confidence | Position | Directional |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Minute | 57.6% | 63.2% | 73.3% |
| 10 Minute | 60.9% | 72.2% | 63.3% |
| 15 Minute | 53.8% | 58.2% | 63.3% |
| 30 Minute | 89.1% | 65.2% | 90.0% |
Track record: does the Standard Deviation prediction call the direction?
| Measured on | Direction right | vs a simple guess | Predictions |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 minute chart, 3 hours ahead | 60% | +15% | 300 |
| 1 hour chart, 12 hours ahead | 64% | +13% | 300 |
| 5 minute chart, 1 hour ahead | 63% | +13% | 297 |
| 1 hour chart, 6 hours ahead | 68% | +11% | 300 |
| 5 minute chart, 30 minutes ahead | 65% | +7% | 297 |
| 15 minute chart, 90 minutes ahead | 62% | +4% | 300 |
A recent finished prediction: made Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET with GC's Standard Deviation at 9.61, it said lower 3 hours later (4.25); it was at 6.72 — the direction the prediction called.
Based on LiveCharts.AI's recorded predictions compared with what the market actually did.
On directional accuracy the strongest of these is 30 Minute at 90.0%. A slower frame usually sets context while a faster one decides timing, so the most accurate frame is not always the one to trade.
How to read this
Directional accuracy is how often the projected direction proved right; position accuracy is how closely the projected path tracked what actually happened. Confidence is LiveCharts.AI's own read. The live prediction itself is generated inside the platform.
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See LiveCharts.AI in action — predicted candlesticks and indicators, 30 bars into the future, before they occur:
Questions traders ask
Predicted Standard Deviation values GC Yes. Alongside the regular Standard Deviation, LiveCharts.AI draws the predicted Standard Deviation for GC on every timeframe from 1 minute to 1 hour, updated as each candle closes. Predictive indicators →
AI trading copilot for GC Yes. In LiveCharts.AI you chat with the live GC chart: ask what the predicted candles imply or where the predicted indicators turn, and the answer is about the chart in front of you. Chat with a trading chart →
See future candles before they form Gold Futures LiveCharts.AI predicts the next 30 candles of Gold Futures on every timeframe from 1 minute to 1 hour, drawn on the live chart. It is a prediction, not a certainty, so LiveCharts.AI publishes how its recent GC predictions compared with what happened. Candlestick prediction →
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