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How accurate are SMA predictions?
The simple moving average is the plain average of price over a fixed number of bars, the slowest and steadiest of the trend lines. Measured across 140 qualifying charts.
| Timeframe | Median directional | Best | Charts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Minute | 98.0% | 98.0% | 23 |
| 5 Minute | 98.0% | 98.0% | 15 |
| 10 Minute | 98.0% | 98.0% | 17 |
| 15 Minute | 98.0% | 98.0% | 22 |
| 30 Minute | 98.0% | 98.0% | 21 |
| 45 Minute | 98.0% | 98.0% | 20 |
| 1 Hour | 98.0% | 98.0% | 22 |
Median and best directional accuracy. “Charts” is how many qualifying charts fed each row — the sample size behind the median, not a page count. Measured, not estimated.
Across every qualifying chart the median directional accuracy for SMA is 98.0%. Accuracy varies more by timeframe than by instrument.
What these numbers are
Directional accuracy is how often the projected direction proved correct, measured against what price actually did. It is not a claim about future performance. The predictions themselves are produced inside the platform.
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