YM (Dow E-mini Futures) Wiseman Alligator: which timeframe is most reliable?
E-mini Dow — Wiseman Alligator prediction accuracy on each timeframe, measured.
| Timeframe | Confidence | Position | Directional |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Minute | 70.8% | 91.6% | 98.0% |
| 5 Minute | 51.0% | 81.8% | 98.0% |
| 10 Minute | 51.6% | 73.9% | 98.0% |
| 15 Minute | 49.9% | 76.2% | 98.0% |
| 30 Minute | 46.6% | 72.1% | 96.7% |
| 45 Minute | 48.5% | 74.6% | 98.0% |
| 1 Hour | 48.3% | 74.5% | 96.7% |
Track record: does the Williams Alligator prediction call the direction?
| Measured on | Direction right | vs a simple guess | Predictions |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 hour chart, 12 hours ahead | 93% | +24% | 300 |
| 1 hour chart, 6 hours ahead | 95% | +21% | 300 |
| 15 minute chart, 3 hours ahead | 95% | +20% | 300 |
| 5 minute chart, 30 minutes ahead | 98% | +15% | 297 |
| 15 minute chart, 90 minutes ahead | 99% | +15% | 300 |
| 5 minute chart, 1 hour ahead | 94% | +14% | 297 |
| 1 hour chart, 2 hours ahead | 94% | +9% | 300 |
| 5 minute chart, 10 minutes ahead | 96% | +7% | 297 |
| 15 minute chart, 30 minutes ahead | 96% | +5% | 300 |
A recent finished prediction: made Nov 2, 4:00 AM ET with YM's Williams Alligator at 52,254, it said lower 12 hours later (52,135); it was at 52,173 — the direction the prediction called.
Based on LiveCharts.AI's recorded predictions compared with what the market actually did.
On directional accuracy the strongest of these is 1 Minute at 98.0%. A slower frame usually sets context while a faster one decides timing, so the most accurate frame is not always the one to trade.
How to read this
Directional accuracy is how often the projected direction proved right; position accuracy is how closely the projected path tracked what actually happened. Confidence is LiveCharts.AI's own read. The live prediction itself is generated inside the platform.
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Questions traders ask
Alligator crossover prediction for Dow E-mini Futures Yes. Alongside the regular Alligator, LiveCharts.AI draws the predicted Alligator for YM on every timeframe from 1 minute to 1 hour, updated as each candle closes. Predictive indicators →
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More questions traders ask
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