YM (Dow E-mini Futures) Std Dev: which timeframe is most reliable?
E-mini Dow — Std Dev prediction accuracy on each timeframe, measured.
| Timeframe | Confidence | Position | Directional |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Minute | 57.4% | 51.2% | 98.0% |
| 15 Minute | 49.1% | 56.5% | 93.3% |
| 45 Minute | 42.0% | 53.4% | 63.3% |
Track record: does the Standard Deviation prediction call the direction?
| Measured on | Direction right | vs a simple guess | Predictions |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 minute chart, 30 minutes ahead | 66% | +14% | 298 |
| 1 hour chart, 12 hours ahead | 59% | +13% | 300 |
| 5 minute chart, 1 hour ahead | 59% | +13% | 298 |
| 15 minute chart, 3 hours ahead | 58% | +10% | 300 |
A recent finished prediction: made Nov 3, 2:15 PM ET with YM's Standard Deviation at 15.83, it said higher 30 minutes later (18.90); it was at 20.87 — the direction the prediction called.
Based on LiveCharts.AI's recorded predictions compared with what the market actually did.
On directional accuracy the strongest of these is 1 Minute at 98.0%. A slower frame usually sets context while a faster one decides timing, so the most accurate frame is not always the one to trade.
How to read this
Directional accuracy is how often the projected direction proved right; position accuracy is how closely the projected path tracked what actually happened. Confidence is LiveCharts.AI's own read. The live prediction itself is generated inside the platform.
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See LiveCharts.AI in action — predicted candlesticks and indicators, 30 bars into the future, before they occur:
Questions traders ask
Can AI predict the Standard Deviation on YM? Yes. Alongside the regular Standard Deviation, LiveCharts.AI draws the predicted Standard Deviation for YM on every timeframe from 1 minute to 1 hour, updated as each candle closes. Predictive indicators →
Can I ask an AI chatbot about the Dow E-mini Futures chart? Yes. In LiveCharts.AI you chat with the live YM chart: ask what the predicted candles imply or where the predicted indicators turn, and the answer is about the chart in front of you. Chat with a trading chart →
Is the next YM candle bullish or bearish? Yes. LiveCharts.AI draws the predicted next candles of YM to the right of the last bar, with their open, high, low and close, and redraws them as each candle closes. Predictions are estimates, not certainties. Candlestick prediction →
More questions traders ask
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Stock market today dow jones today Dow E-mini Futures (YM) is live on LiveCharts.AI with the next 30 bars predicted on every timeframe from 1 minute to 1 hour, redrawn as each candle closes. A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty; the market page shows recent YM predictions next to what happened. Dow E-mini Futures predictions →