NQ (Nasdaq 100 E-mini Futures) Bollinger: which timeframe is most reliable?
E-mini Nasdaq 100 — Bollinger prediction accuracy on each timeframe, measured.
| Timeframe | Confidence | Position | Directional |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Minute | 57.1% | 79.7% | 98.0% |
| 5 Minute | 42.2% | 53.6% | 98.0% |
| 15 Minute | 41.5% | 51.5% | 98.0% |
| 30 Minute | 39.8% | 50.7% | 93.3% |
| 45 Minute | 44.2% | 58.1% | 90.0% |
| 1 Hour | 44.1% | 60.3% | 80.0% |
Track record: does the Bollinger Bands prediction call the direction?
| Measured on | Direction right | vs a simple guess | Predictions |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 hour chart, 12 hours ahead | 68% | +12% | 300 |
| 15 minute chart, 90 minutes ahead | 73% | +10% | 300 |
| 1 hour chart, 6 hours ahead | 74% | +9% | 300 |
| 5 minute chart, 30 minutes ahead | 69% | +8% | 298 |
| 15 minute chart, 3 hours ahead | 71% | +5% | 300 |
A recent finished prediction: made Nov 1, 8:00 PM ET with NQ's Bollinger Bands at 29,012, it said lower 12 hours later (28,670); it was at 28,838 — the direction the prediction called.
Based on LiveCharts.AI's recorded predictions compared with what the market actually did.
On directional accuracy the strongest of these is 1 Minute at 98.0%. A slower frame usually sets context while a faster one decides timing, so the most accurate frame is not always the one to trade.
How to read this
Directional accuracy is how often the projected direction proved right; position accuracy is how closely the projected path tracked what actually happened. Confidence is LiveCharts.AI's own read. The live prediction itself is generated inside the platform.
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See LiveCharts.AI in action — predicted candlesticks and indicators, 30 bars into the future, before they occur:
Questions traders ask
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