NG (Natural Gas Futures) Std Dev: which timeframe is most reliable?
Natural Gas — Std Dev prediction accuracy on each timeframe, measured.
| Timeframe | Confidence | Position | Directional |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Minute | 56.0% | 64.7% | 98.0% |
| 5 Minute | 54.4% | 57.6% | 98.0% |
| 15 Minute | 51.2% | 52.4% | 83.3% |
| 30 Minute | 66.6% | 76.6% | 63.3% |
| 45 Minute | 65.1% | 77.2% | 60.0% |
| 1 Hour | 54.8% | 68.7% | 66.7% |
Track record: does the Standard Deviation prediction call the direction?
| Measured on | Direction right | vs a simple guess | Predictions |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 minute chart, 1 hour ahead | 66% | +22% | 298 |
| 1 hour chart, 12 hours ahead | 64% | +13% | 300 |
| 5 minute chart, 30 minutes ahead | 63% | +6% | 298 |
| 1 hour chart, 6 hours ahead | 66% | +4% | 300 |
A recent finished prediction: made Nov 3, 2:25 PM ET with NG's Standard Deviation at 0.008, it said lower 1 hour later (0.003); it was at 0.007 — the direction the prediction called.
Based on LiveCharts.AI's recorded predictions compared with what the market actually did.
On directional accuracy the strongest of these is 1 Minute at 98.0%. A slower frame usually sets context while a faster one decides timing, so the most accurate frame is not always the one to trade.
How to read this
Directional accuracy is how often the projected direction proved right; position accuracy is how closely the projected path tracked what actually happened. Confidence is LiveCharts.AI's own read. The live prediction itself is generated inside the platform.
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See LiveCharts.AI in action — predicted candlesticks and indicators, 30 bars into the future, before they occur:
Questions traders ask
NG AI predictive Standard Deviation indicator LiveCharts.AI predicts where the Standard Deviation goes next on NG, up to 30 bars ahead, next to the predicted candles, and publishes how its recent Standard Deviation predictions compared with what happened. Predictive indicators →
Today's NG direction LiveCharts.AI predicts the NG path for the rest of today and tomorrow on every timeframe. It is a prediction, not a certainty; the market page shows how recent ones turned out. Market prediction page →
NG AI price prediction reliability It depends on the chart and how far ahead. LiveCharts.AI publishes how often its recent NG predictions got the direction right, chart by chart, so you can compare before relying on one. Can AI predict futures prices? →
More questions traders ask
Natural gas futures contract For Natural Gas Futures, LiveCharts.AI draws predicted candlesticks and indicators to the right of the live price, and its AI chat answers questions about the NG chart. Predictions are estimates, not certainties. Natural Gas Futures predictions →
Buy natural gas futures Natural Gas Futures (NG) is live on LiveCharts.AI with the next 30 bars predicted on every timeframe from 1 minute to 1 hour, redrawn as each candle closes. A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty; the market page shows recent NG predictions next to what happened. Natural Gas Futures predictions →
Natural gas futures LiveCharts.AI predicts the path of Natural Gas Futures (NG) 30 bars ahead on every timeframe and shows how recent predictions compared with what happened, so the record can be checked before relying on one. Natural Gas Futures predictions →