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MES (Micro S&P 500 Futures) 5 Minute SMA Prediction Accuracy

Micro E-mini S&P 500 — how LiveCharts.AI predictions for SMA on the 5 minute chart have measured up.

Prediction directionView live →
LiveCharts.AI confidence39.5%
Position accuracy69.5%
Directional accuracy76.7%
Educational reference. Measured against bars through 2026-11-03 23:15 — recorded outcomes for learning purposes, not trading advice.

These are measured outcomes, not estimates. Position accuracy of 69.5% reflects how closely the projected path tracked what SMA actually did; directional accuracy of 76.7% reflects how often the projected direction was right.

EXAMPLE SCREENSHOT · August 2026LiveCharts.AI projecting price and every enabled indicator forward, with the past and predicted sections marked
Example screenshot of the LiveCharts.AI app from August 2026 — an illustration only. Any prediction lines on it are not current; today's and tomorrow's predictions are only in the live app.

LiveCharts.AI projecting SMA and price forward on a live chart.

What this reading is

The simple moving average is the plain average of price over a fixed number of bars, the slowest and steadiest of the trend lines. On directional accuracy this ranks 10 of 13 readings on this chart, below the median of 93.3%.

Why the timeframe changes the read

The same prediction reads differently depending on the chart you act on. A slower frame sets context; a faster one decides timing. Micro E-mini S&P 500 on the 5 minute chart is one view of SMA, and comparing it against the other frames below is usually more useful than any single number.

How the prediction is produced

Rather than only plotting what has already happened, LiveCharts.AI projects the next 30 bars forward — for price and for each indicator you have enabled. The projected path and the live direction are generated inside the platform for whichever chart you have open.

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See LiveCharts.AI in action — predicted candlesticks and indicators, 30 bars into the future, before they occur:

Questions traders ask

Predicted SMA on MES chart LiveCharts.AI predicts where the SMA goes next on MES, up to 30 bars ahead, next to the predicted candles, and publishes how its recent SMA predictions compared with what happened. Predictive indicators →

What AI tools help day traders on MES? For day trading Micro S&P 500 Futures, LiveCharts.AI predicts the next candles on the 1, 5, 10 and 15 minute charts and redraws the prediction as each bar closes, so you see when it changes during the session. AI tools for day traders →

AI trading copilot for Micro S&P 500 Futures A screenshot in a general chatbot shows only one moment. LiveCharts.AI's chart chat reads the live Micro S&P 500 Futures chart, every new bar and its predicted next candles, so you can ask where MES is predicted to go. Chat with a trading chart →

More questions traders ask

S and p mini futures For Micro S&P 500 Futures, LiveCharts.AI draws predicted candlesticks and indicators to the right of the live price, and its AI chat answers questions about the MES chart. Predictions are estimates, not certainties. Micro S&P 500 Futures predictions →

Trading signals chart The LiveCharts.AI MES chart shows the real Micro S&P 500 Futures candles together with the predicted next 30 candles and the predicted indicators, drawn ahead of the last bar on every timeframe from 1 minute to 1 hour. Micro S&P 500 Futures predictions →

Indicators buy sell signals chart On LiveCharts.AI the Micro S&P 500 Futures chart carries its own prediction: candlesticks and indicators 30 bars ahead, before they occur, with recent MES predictions shown next to what happened. Micro S&P 500 Futures predictions →

LiveCharts.AI disclaimer: trading involves risk of substantial loss and is not suitable for every investor. LiveCharts.AI provides technical analysis tools and predictions for educational and informational purposes only; outcomes vary and individual results may differ from any examples shown. Historical performance is not indicative of future outcomes. Only invest capital you can afford to lose and consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
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