ES (S&P 500 E-mini Futures) Wiseman Alligator: which timeframe is most reliable?
E-mini S&P 500 — Wiseman Alligator prediction accuracy on each timeframe, measured.
| Timeframe | Confidence | Position | Directional |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Minute | 64.4% | 80.7% | 83.3% |
| 5 Minute | 52.0% | 79.8% | 98.0% |
| 10 Minute | 45.3% | 65.7% | 98.0% |
| 15 Minute | 47.1% | 68.1% | 98.0% |
| 30 Minute | 45.3% | 65.8% | 93.3% |
| 45 Minute | 44.1% | 68.9% | 80.0% |
| 1 Hour | 43.3% | 67.7% | 80.0% |
Track record: does the Williams Alligator prediction call the direction?
| Measured on | Direction right | vs a simple guess | Predictions |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 minute chart, 3 hours ahead | 94% | +20% | 300 |
| 15 minute chart, 90 minutes ahead | 97% | +17% | 300 |
| 1 hour chart, 12 hours ahead | 94% | +16% | 300 |
| 1 hour chart, 6 hours ahead | 98% | +12% | 300 |
| 5 minute chart, 30 minutes ahead | 98% | +12% | 299 |
| 5 minute chart, 1 hour ahead | 96% | +11% | 299 |
| 1 hour chart, 2 hours ahead | 96% | +6% | 300 |
| 15 minute chart, 30 minutes ahead | 95% | +6% | 300 |
| 5 minute chart, 10 minutes ahead | 97% | +5% | 299 |
A recent finished prediction: made Nov 3, 9:00 AM ET with ES's Williams Alligator at 7,566, it said higher 3 hours later (7,574); it was at 7,574 — the direction the prediction called.
Based on LiveCharts.AI's recorded predictions compared with what the market actually did.
On directional accuracy the strongest of these is 5 Minute at 98.0%. A slower frame usually sets context while a faster one decides timing, so the most accurate frame is not always the one to trade.
How to read this
Directional accuracy is how often the projected direction proved right; position accuracy is how closely the projected path tracked what actually happened. Confidence is LiveCharts.AI's own read. The live prediction itself is generated inside the platform.
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Questions traders ask
AI predictive Alligator indicator for day trading LiveCharts.AI predicts where the Alligator goes next on ES, up to 30 bars ahead, next to the predicted candles, and publishes how its recent Alligator predictions compared with what happened. Predictive indicators →
Can confidence in AI predictions change for S&P 500 E-mini Futures? AI can give a prediction for ES, not a certainty. LiveCharts.AI shows its measured record on S&P 500 E-mini Futures next to each prediction, so its reliability can be checked. Can AI predict futures prices? →
Can AI predict the next ES candle range? Yes. LiveCharts.AI draws the predicted next candles of ES to the right of the last bar, with their open, high, low and close, and redraws them as each candle closes. Predictions are estimates, not certainties. Candlestick prediction →
More questions traders ask
S and p 500 today S&P 500 E-mini Futures (ES) is live on LiveCharts.AI with the next 30 bars predicted on every timeframe from 1 minute to 1 hour, redrawn as each candle closes. A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty; the market page shows recent ES predictions next to what happened. S&P 500 E-mini Futures predictions →
S&P 500 futures ticker LiveCharts.AI predicts the path of S&P 500 E-mini Futures (ES) 30 bars ahead on every timeframe and shows how recent predictions compared with what happened, so the record can be checked before relying on one. S&P 500 E-mini Futures predictions →
Emini S&P Open the ES chart on LiveCharts.AI to see where S&P 500 E-mini Futures is now and where its next 30 candles are predicted to go. Past ES predictions are published next to what the market actually did. S&P 500 E-mini Futures predictions →