ES (S&P 500 E-mini Futures) Std Dev: which timeframe is most reliable?
E-mini S&P 500 — Std Dev prediction accuracy on each timeframe, measured.
| Timeframe | Confidence | Position | Directional |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Minute | 66.3% | 77.6% | 93.3% |
| 5 Minute | 57.5% | 67.2% | 98.0% |
| 15 Minute | 51.6% | 57.4% | 93.3% |
| 1 Hour | 50.3% | 61.4% | 98.0% |
Track record: does the Standard Deviation prediction call the direction?
| Measured on | Direction right | vs a simple guess | Predictions |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 hour chart, 12 hours ahead | 71% | +23% | 300 |
| 5 minute chart, 1 hour ahead | 62% | +16% | 297 |
| 1 hour chart, 6 hours ahead | 71% | +8% | 300 |
| 5 minute chart, 30 minutes ahead | 60% | +7% | 297 |
| 15 minute chart, 90 minutes ahead | 60% | +6% | 300 |
A recent finished prediction: made Nov 1, 7:00 PM ET with ES's Standard Deviation at 33.77, it said lower 12 hours later (12.66); it was at 9.73 — the direction the prediction called.
Based on LiveCharts.AI's recorded predictions compared with what the market actually did.
On directional accuracy the strongest of these is 5 Minute at 98.0%. A slower frame usually sets context while a faster one decides timing, so the most accurate frame is not always the one to trade.
How to read this
Directional accuracy is how often the projected direction proved right; position accuracy is how closely the projected path tracked what actually happened. Confidence is LiveCharts.AI's own read. The live prediction itself is generated inside the platform.
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Questions traders ask
Live Standard Deviation prediction software Yes. Alongside the regular Standard Deviation, LiveCharts.AI draws the predicted Standard Deviation for ES on every timeframe from 1 minute to 1 hour, updated as each candle closes. Predictive indicators →
AI analysis during market movement for S&P 500 E-mini Futures LiveCharts.AI updates the ES prediction as each candle closes, so the predicted path always starts from the latest price, and the chat answers questions about the chart as it is now. AI chart analysis →
AI trading copilot for ES A screenshot in a general chatbot shows only one moment. LiveCharts.AI's chart chat reads the live S&P 500 E-mini Futures chart, every new bar and its predicted next candles, so you can ask where ES is predicted to go. Chat with a trading chart →
More questions traders ask
General electric stock price today S&P 500 E-mini Futures (ES) is live on LiveCharts.AI with the next 30 bars predicted on every timeframe from 1 minute to 1 hour, redrawn as each candle closes. A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty; the market page shows recent ES predictions next to what happened. S&P 500 E-mini Futures predictions →
Twitter share price history LiveCharts.AI predicts the path of S&P 500 E-mini Futures (ES) 30 bars ahead on every timeframe and shows how recent predictions compared with what happened, so the record can be checked before relying on one. S&P 500 E-mini Futures predictions →
Cvs stock prediction Open the ES chart on LiveCharts.AI to see where S&P 500 E-mini Futures is now and where its next 30 candles are predicted to go. Past ES predictions are published next to what the market actually did. S&P 500 E-mini Futures predictions →