ES (S&P 500 E-mini Futures) SMA: which timeframe is most reliable?
E-mini S&P 500 — SMA prediction accuracy on each timeframe, measured.
| Timeframe | Confidence | Position | Directional |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Minute | 60.7% | 83.2% | 98.0% |
| 5 Minute | 46.0% | 75.6% | 83.3% |
| 10 Minute | 39.3% | 62.5% | 98.0% |
| 15 Minute | 43.8% | 50.2% | 98.0% |
| 30 Minute | 44.3% | 56.7% | 98.0% |
| 45 Minute | 47.1% | 63.4% | 98.0% |
| 1 Hour | 47.9% | 64.9% | 98.0% |
Track record: does the Simple Moving Average (SMA) prediction call the direction?
| Measured on | Direction right | vs a simple guess | Predictions |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 hour chart, 6 hours ahead | 83% | +6% | 300 |
| 1 hour chart, 12 hours ahead | 74% | +5% | 300 |
A recent finished prediction: made Nov 2, 4:00 AM ET with ES's Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 7,633, it said higher 6 hours later (7,642); it was at 7,649 — the direction the prediction called.
Based on LiveCharts.AI's recorded predictions compared with what the market actually did.
On directional accuracy the strongest of these is 1 Minute at 98.0%. A slower frame usually sets context while a faster one decides timing, so the most accurate frame is not always the one to trade.
How to read this
Directional accuracy is how often the projected direction proved right; position accuracy is how closely the projected path tracked what actually happened. Confidence is LiveCharts.AI's own read. The live prediction itself is generated inside the platform.
See the live predictions — 7 day free trialSee live predictions on LiveCharts.AI →
See LiveCharts.AI in action — predicted candlesticks and indicators, 30 bars into the future, before they occur:
Questions traders ask
AI predicted SMA on chart Yes. Alongside the regular SMA, LiveCharts.AI draws the predicted SMA for ES on every timeframe from 1 minute to 1 hour, updated as each candle closes. Predictive indicators →
What AI tools help day traders on ES? For day trading S&P 500 E-mini Futures, LiveCharts.AI predicts the next candles on the 1, 5, 10 and 15 minute charts and redraws the prediction as each bar closes, so you see when it changes during the session. AI tools for day traders →
What AI trading software predicts the ES chart? Yes. LiveCharts.AI predicts the ES chart up to 30 bars ahead on every timeframe from 1 minute to 1 hour, on web, iPhone, iPad and Mac, with a 7 day free trial. AI trading software →
More questions traders ask
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