ES (S&P 500 E-mini Futures) Parabolic SAR: which timeframe is most reliable?
E-mini S&P 500 — Parabolic SAR prediction accuracy on each timeframe, measured.
| Timeframe | Confidence | Position | Directional |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Minute | 42.3% | 60.1% | 98.0% |
| 30 Minute | 58.2% | 45.7% | 98.0% |
| 45 Minute | 55.7% | 51.1% | 83.3% |
| 1 Hour | 54.9% | 47.6% | 93.3% |
Track record: does the Parabolic SAR prediction call the direction?
| Measured on | Direction right | vs a simple guess | Predictions |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 hour chart, 6 hours ahead | 95% | +14% | 300 |
| 15 minute chart, 30 minutes ahead | 99% | +12% | 289 |
| 1 hour chart, 2 hours ahead | 98% | +10% | 287 |
| 5 minute chart, 30 minutes ahead | 96% | +10% | 299 |
| 5 minute chart, 10 minutes ahead | 100% | +9% | 288 |
| 15 minute chart, 90 minutes ahead | 92% | +6% | 298 |
A recent finished prediction: made Nov 1, 11:00 PM ET with ES's Parabolic SAR at 7,579, it said higher 6 hours later (7,615); it was at 7,618 — the direction the prediction called.
Based on LiveCharts.AI's recorded predictions compared with what the market actually did.
On directional accuracy the strongest of these is 10 Minute at 98.0%. A slower frame usually sets context while a faster one decides timing, so the most accurate frame is not always the one to trade.
How to read this
Directional accuracy is how often the projected direction proved right; position accuracy is how closely the projected path tracked what actually happened. Confidence is LiveCharts.AI's own read. The live prediction itself is generated inside the platform.
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Questions traders ask
Parabolic SAR crossover prediction for ES Yes. Alongside the regular Parabolic SAR, LiveCharts.AI draws the predicted Parabolic SAR for ES on every timeframe from 1 minute to 1 hour, updated as each candle closes. Predictive indicators →
What AI tools help day traders on ES? For day trading S&P 500 E-mini Futures, LiveCharts.AI predicts the next candles on the 1, 5, 10 and 15 minute charts and redraws the prediction as each bar closes, so you see when it changes during the session. AI tools for day traders →
AI trading chart copilot for ES Yes. The LiveCharts.AI assistant answers from the ES chart on your screen, the recent bars, the predicted path and the indicators. It does not place trades or promise outcomes. AI trading assistant →
More questions traders ask
S&P stock price S&P 500 E-mini Futures (ES) is live on LiveCharts.AI with the next 30 bars predicted on every timeframe from 1 minute to 1 hour, redrawn as each candle closes. A prediction is an estimate, not a certainty; the market page shows recent ES predictions next to what happened. S&P 500 E-mini Futures predictions →
Cronos price prediction 2022 Open the ES chart on LiveCharts.AI to see where S&P 500 E-mini Futures is now and where its next 30 candles are predicted to go. Past ES predictions are published next to what the market actually did. S&P 500 E-mini Futures predictions →
Cronos price prediction 2023 LiveCharts.AI predicts the path of S&P 500 E-mini Futures (ES) 30 bars ahead on every timeframe and shows how recent predictions compared with what happened, so the record can be checked before relying on one. S&P 500 E-mini Futures predictions →