ES (S&P 500 E-mini Futures) DM: which timeframe is most reliable?
E-mini S&P 500 — DM prediction accuracy on each timeframe, measured.
| Timeframe | Confidence | Position | Directional |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Minute | 31.8% | 50.6% | 86.7% |
| 15 Minute | 42.7% | 64.4% | 90.0% |
| 1 Hour | 53.4% | 64.4% | 43.3% |
Track record: does the ADX / DMI prediction call the direction?
| Measured on | Direction right | vs a simple guess | Predictions |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 minute chart, 1 hour ahead | 58% | +12% | 297 |
| 15 minute chart, 3 hours ahead | 61% | +12% | 300 |
| 5 minute chart, 30 minutes ahead | 61% | +12% | 297 |
| 15 minute chart, 90 minutes ahead | 57% | +10% | 300 |
| 1 hour chart, 12 hours ahead | 55% | +8% | 300 |
A recent finished prediction: made Nov 3, 11:20 AM ET with ES's ADX / DMI at 28.93, it said lower 1 hour later (24.09); it was at 19.45 — the direction the prediction called.
Based on LiveCharts.AI's recorded predictions compared with what the market actually did.
On directional accuracy the strongest of these is 15 Minute at 90.0%. A slower frame usually sets context while a faster one decides timing, so the most accurate frame is not always the one to trade.
How to read this
Directional accuracy is how often the projected direction proved right; position accuracy is how closely the projected path tracked what actually happened. Confidence is LiveCharts.AI's own read. The live prediction itself is generated inside the platform.
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See LiveCharts.AI in action — predicted candlesticks and indicators, 30 bars into the future, before they occur:
Questions traders ask
Predicted ADX for intraday trading for S&P 500 E-mini Futures Yes. Alongside the regular ADX, LiveCharts.AI draws the predicted ADX for ES on every timeframe from 1 minute to 1 hour, updated as each candle closes. Predictive indicators →
Live price movement prediction for S&P 500 E-mini Futures LiveCharts.AI updates the ES prediction as each candle closes, so the predicted path always starts from the latest price, and the chat answers questions about the chart as it is now. AI chart analysis →
AI assistant for ES chart review LiveCharts.AI's chat reads the same ES chart you are looking at: ask where the prediction changes direction, what the predicted highs and lows are, or how today compares with yesterday. AI trading assistant →
More questions traders ask
S&P 500 mini futures For S&P 500 E-mini Futures, LiveCharts.AI draws predicted candlesticks and indicators to the right of the live price, and its AI chat answers questions about the ES chart. Predictions are estimates, not certainties. S&P 500 E-mini Futures predictions →
Nyse live Open the ES chart on LiveCharts.AI to see where S&P 500 E-mini Futures is now and where its next 30 candles are predicted to go. Past ES predictions are published next to what the market actually did. S&P 500 E-mini Futures predictions →
Latest stock market news LiveCharts.AI predicts the path of S&P 500 E-mini Futures (ES) 30 bars ahead on every timeframe and shows how recent predictions compared with what happened, so the record can be checked before relying on one. S&P 500 E-mini Futures predictions →