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ES (S&P 500 E-mini Futures) 5 Minute ATR Prediction Accuracy

E-mini S&P 500 — how LiveCharts.AI predictions for ATR on the 5 minute chart have measured up.

Prediction directionView live →
LiveCharts.AI confidence43.7%
Position accuracy54.1%
Directional accuracy53.3%
Educational reference. Measured against bars through 2026-11-04 00:15 — recorded outcomes for learning purposes, not trading advice.

These are measured outcomes, not estimates. Position accuracy of 54.1% reflects how closely the projected path tracked what ATR actually did; directional accuracy of 53.3% reflects how often the projected direction was right.

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Example screenshot of the LiveCharts.AI app from August 2026 — an illustration only. Any prediction lines on it are not current; today's and tomorrow's predictions are only in the live app.

LiveCharts.AI projecting ATR and price forward on a live chart.

What this reading is

ATR measures how far price typically travels in a bar, so it describes volatility rather than direction. A prediction of ATR is a prediction of how much room a move is likely to have. On directional accuracy this ranks 13 of 14 readings on this chart, below the median of 98.0%.

Why the timeframe changes the read

The same prediction reads differently depending on the chart you act on. A slower frame sets context; a faster one decides timing. E-mini S&P 500 on the 5 minute chart is one view of ATR, and comparing it against the other frames below is usually more useful than any single number.

How the prediction is produced

Rather than only plotting what has already happened, LiveCharts.AI projects the next 30 bars forward — for price and for each indicator you have enabled. The projected path and the live direction are generated inside the platform for whichever chart you have open.

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See LiveCharts.AI in action — predicted candlesticks and indicators, 30 bars into the future, before they occur:

Questions traders ask

Projected ATR for ES LiveCharts.AI predicts where the ATR goes next on ES, up to 30 bars ahead, next to the predicted candles, and publishes how its recent ATR predictions compared with what happened. Predictive indicators →

What will the price candles look like next on ES? Yes. LiveCharts.AI draws the predicted next candles of ES to the right of the last bar, with their open, high, low and close, and redraws them as each candle closes. Predictions are estimates, not certainties. Candlestick prediction →

Conversational assistant for reviewing S&P 500 E-mini Futures charts next 30 bars LiveCharts.AI's chat reads the same ES chart you are looking at: ask where the prediction changes direction, what the predicted highs and lows are, or how today compares with yesterday. AI trading assistant →

More questions traders ask

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