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BTCUSD (Bitcoin) 15 Minute SMA Prediction Accuracy

Bitcoin — how LiveCharts.AI predictions for SMA on the 15 minute chart have measured up.

Prediction directionView live →
LiveCharts.AI confidence37.2%
Position accuracy52.8%
Directional accuracy98.0%
Educational reference. Measured against bars through 2026-11-03 23:15 — recorded outcomes for learning purposes, not trading advice.

These are measured outcomes, not estimates. Position accuracy of 52.8% reflects how closely the projected path tracked what SMA actually did; directional accuracy of 98.0% reflects how often the projected direction was right.

EXAMPLE SCREENSHOT · August 2026LiveCharts.AI projecting price and every enabled indicator forward, with the past and predicted sections marked
Example screenshot of the LiveCharts.AI app from August 2026 — an illustration only. Any prediction lines on it are not current; today's and tomorrow's predictions are only in the live app.

LiveCharts.AI projecting SMA and price forward on a live chart.

What this reading is

The simple moving average is the plain average of price over a fixed number of bars, the slowest and steadiest of the trend lines. On directional accuracy this ranks 1 of 6 readings on this chart, in line with the median of 98.0%.

Why the timeframe changes the read

The same prediction reads differently depending on the chart you act on. A slower frame sets context; a faster one decides timing. Bitcoin on the 15 minute chart is one view of SMA, and comparing it against the other frames below is usually more useful than any single number.

How the prediction is produced

Rather than only plotting what has already happened, LiveCharts.AI projects the next 30 bars forward — for price and for each indicator you have enabled. The projected path and the live direction are generated inside the platform for whichever chart you have open.

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See LiveCharts.AI in action — predicted candlesticks and indicators, 30 bars into the future, before they occur:

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