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When Does ES Actually Move? Hourly Ranges on 5-minute Charts

Educational reference. Measured from 17,877 recorded 5-minute bars of E-mini S&P 500 through September 4, 2026.

10:00 is the busiest hour, averaging 8.25 per bar — 3.7× the quietest hour at 00:00.

The same stop is a different stop at different times of day. This is the median high-to-low range of a single 5-minute bar of E-mini S&P 500, hour by hour, measured from 17,877 recorded bars over the last 90 days.

Hour (ET)Median rangeBars
00:002.25780
01:002.75780
02:002.75780
03:003.12780
04:003.50780
05:002.75780
06:002.75780
07:003.50780
08:004.25780
09:006.25780
10:008.25779
11:006.50780
12:005.38780
13:004.62758
14:004.25657
15:004.50758
16:003.25768
17:004.25173
18:003.00725
19:002.50780
20:003.75779
21:003.25780
22:002.75780
23:002.50780
A LiveCharts.AI chart showing past bars and the predicted window

The spread across the day

The busiest hour is 10:00, averaging 8.25 per bar. The quietest is 00:00 at 2.25. That is a 3.7× difference across the same instrument, the same timeframe, the same trading day.

A stop sized for 00:00 conditions will be caught routinely at 10:00, and a stop sized for 10:00 gives away far more than it needs to overnight. The same number of points does not mean the same thing at every hour.

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How this was measured

Every 5-minute bar of E-mini S&P 500 recorded in the last 90 days was grouped by the hour it opened, in Eastern time. The figure shown is the median of high minus low within each group — the middle bar of that hour, not the average, so a single outlier session cannot distort it. Hours with fewer than 60 recorded bars are omitted rather than shown on thin evidence.

These are recorded market ranges, not forecasts. Nothing on this page is a projection.

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